Santana was a brilliant pitcher when healthy. He won the Cy Young award twice, finished third two other times and also registered a fifth- and seventh-place finish. Problem is, he couldn’t stay healthy. Injuries wrecked his career; he only made more than 25 starts in six seasons. That’s not a good number. His greatest hope, honestly, is that voters connect the brilliant-but-brief injury-shortened careers of Santana and Sandy Koufax. It’s not a tough connection to make, actually, within certain parameters.
Koufax won three Cy Young awards, Santana won two. Koufax had a career WAR of 49.0 and a JAWS of 47.5, Santana tops him there, at 51.4 and 48.1. Look, I’m not saying Santana was as good as Koufax, of course, but a challenge of voting for the Hall is finding context for guys on the ballot. Koufax provides context for Santana.
I’m not saying what percentage I think these guys deserve but what percentage I think they’ll get.
And, second, this will be the first year that all votes are made public, which could impact the totals, especially for the guys at the top of the list. It’s easy to cast a controversial vote when you’re anonymous, not so much when you have to put your name behind your vote.
The Braves’ Dansby Swanson will win NL Rookie of the Year. This is hardly a Cheap Authentic Baseball Jerseys bold prediction, but rather a logical one. After a strong debut in the majors Cheap Authentic NFL Jerseys late in 2016 — in which he hit .302/.361/.422, and displayed impressive defense — Swanson ended the season with 129 at-bats, just shy of qualifying as a rookie. So he’ll come into 2017 with more big-league experience than other rookies. Expect him to parlay his impressive pre-rookie performance into an All-Star-caliber official rookie campaign.